Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.601157 1.675004 1.750912 1.834912 1.925435 2.020236 2.127264
2026-01-04 1.456566 1.560934 1.672413 1.800915 1.945673 2.104551 2.293295
2026-01-11 1.372189 1.499289 1.639359 1.806424 2.001946 2.225665 2.504182
2026-01-18 1.314445 1.459727 1.624133 1.826116 2.070662 2.361328 2.739541
2026-01-25 1.249888 1.405959 1.586343 1.813350 2.096035 2.443078 2.912441
2026-02-01 1.185418 1.347216 1.537432 1.781576 2.092822 2.485590 3.035019
2026-02-08 1.114125 1.275917 1.468571 1.719563 2.045364 2.465436 3.069093
2026-02-15 1.066598 1.230836 1.428917 1.690908 2.037330 2.494087 3.169447
2026-02-22 1.032637 1.200566 1.405657 1.681025 2.051964 2.552342 3.314505
2026-03-01 0.995424 1.164431 1.372996 1.656561 2.044589 2.578361 3.412750
2026-03-08 0.943682 1.108013 1.312092 1.591693 1.978018 2.515965 3.370780
2026-03-15 0.924119 1.091748 1.302115 1.594057 2.004085 2.587049 3.540102
2026-03-22 0.908348 1.081614 1.302012 1.613022 2.059337 2.711815 3.820812
2026-03-29 0.876411 1.049573 1.272017 1.589795 2.053199 2.745103 3.957100
2026-04-05 0.857811 1.034323 1.263756 1.596420 2.091135 2.849383 4.229408
2026-04-12 0.844309 1.025187 1.263167 1.613596 2.145631 2.984344 4.576668
2026-04-19 0.822253 1.003678 1.244581 1.603525 2.157276 3.049728 4.802726
2026-04-26 0.796264 0.975925 1.216194 1.577515 2.142017 3.068023 4.938168
2026-05-03 0.763436 0.937882 1.172136 1.526298 2.083696 3.007593 4.904625
2026-05-10 0.741380 0.913974 1.147166 1.502563 2.068156 3.020592 5.026918
2026-05-17 0.725533 0.898117 1.132991 1.494371 2.077174 3.077552 5.252358
2026-05-24 0.706748 0.877641 1.111518 1.474037 2.064798 3.094340 5.390285
2026-05-31 0.678419 0.843211 1.069093 1.419951 1.993397 2.997091 5.251862